very special elections

israel top line

Israel Crows About NY-26, Eyes Ryan’s Seat [Video]

Long Island Congressman Steve Israel, who chairs the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, said there are three lessons both parties should learn from yesterday’s special election in New York’s 26th Congressional District.

“They are Medicare, Medicare, and Medicare,” Israel told ABC’s TopLine this afternoon.

All joking aside, Democrats are pushing the notion that the surprise victory of the Democratic candidate, Kathy Hochul, in such a conservative district is a bellwether for the public’s reaction to Congressman Paul Ryan’s budget plan.

Video after the jump. Read More

He Said / He Said

Steve Kramer, robocall specialist. (photo credit: facebook)

The Voice Behind an Angry, Anonymous Robocall

A bit more about the anonymous robocall attacking a consultant working on the Jack Davis campaign:

“The only reason I got involved is because I like Jack Davis,” said Steve Kramer, a robo-call specialist based in New York, who is taking credit for the calls. He told me he did it out of disdain for Jim Spencer, one of Davis’s campaign consultants.

“I saw him operate in a certain way with the Jack Davis campaign, and spoke with enough of his former clients to get a real profile of this guy,” said Kramer. “I’m so glad he’s old and that he’ll die or be out of the business soon, because he’s a real scumbag.” Read More

ny-26

Nate Silver Cautions Against Reading Too Much Into NY-26

Stats guru Nate Silver has some cold water for Democrats who think a win in the special election in western New York heralds new momentum for 2012:

[A]s we saw in a couple of special elections in 2009, districts in upstate New York, like this one, are among the quirkiest in the country, not least because they are among the few places where moderate Republicans still exist in large numbers. Read More

Survey Says

Poll: Corwin/Hochul in Dead Heat

Politico has the scoop on a new internal poll out from the Kathy Hochul campaign which shows the Erie County Democrat in a dead heat for a race in an open Congressional seat against Republican Jane Corwin.

According to the poll, by Global Strategy Group, Corwin has 31 percent of the vote while Hochul grabs 30 percent. Independent candidate Jack Davis has 26 percent.

The race is to replace Christopher Lee, who resigned when half-nude photos of himself that he used to solicit dates onlines surfaced. The district is heavily Republican leaning one, but the presence of Davis has given Democrats an opening.

The poll is an internal one, and so should be taken with a grain of salt but is not different from a Siena poll taken last week which showed Corwin with a five point lead over Hochul.