by the numbers
During the waning weeks of the election, New York Times poll wonk Nate Silver served as a totem for many liberals in the face of pundits and pollsters who predicted a victory for Mitt Romney. Mr. Silver’s predictions for the outcome of the election ended up being accurate; however, in an email to supporters this morning, Obama For America campaign manager Jim Messina included a not-so-subtle reminder of a time Mr. Silver was off the mark.
“So many times in this election, this campaign was counted out … Last year, a major American newspaper asked, ‘Is Obama toast?’ As recently as two weeks ago, another ran this headline: ‘Can Obama win?’” Mr. Messina wrote. “Tuesday night, you all answered all of those doubts with a resounding YES WE CAN.”
The first headline Mr. Messina referred to in his email was a piece from the New York Times Magazine written by Mr. Silver almost exactly one year ago. In that piece, Mr. Silver speculated President Barack Obama might not win re-election because voters had “fundamental misgivings” about him and the state of the American economy.
keeping hope alive
HEMPSTEAD, N.Y. — The last questioner hadn’t even finished asking his question before the presidential campaigns’ surrogates hit the floor of the media filing room to spin the results of the second debate of the 2012 campaign. Politicker caught up with President Barack Obama’s campaign manager, Jim Messina, who was particularly damning in his evaluation of Mitt Romney.
“Romney seemed angry, sweaty, he was rattled,” Mr. Messina told reporters gathered around him. “It was the real Romney. He was exposed. Did you see his answer on immigration? I think somewhere Governor Perry is looking around to himself saying to himself, ‘Wait a minute, that’s not what we saw during the primary.’”
HEMPSTEAD, N.Y. – The race between President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney has seen polls tighten in recent days, but at Hofstra University ahead of tonight’s debate, Mr. Obama’s campaign manager Jim Messina repeatedly said the re-election effort is doing great in every swing state across the country.
“When you’re within the margin of error, you’re losing,” Mr. Messina declared on the floor of the media filing center as an ever-growing scrum of reporters gathered around him. “And that’s exactly what they’re doing in Ohio. We are leading in battleground states. We’re leading in important places like Ohio, Iowa and Wisconsin because there’s a clear difference of selection. Romney’s going to struggle to defend his positions on outsourcing….These issues matter and that’s what we’re going to hear about tonight.”
In a letter sent to Mitt Romney’s campaign manager, Matt Rhoades, this morning his counterpart on the Obama campaign, Jim Messina promised to let up on their criticism of Mr. Romney for not releasing more of his tax returns if he releases five years worth of returns. Mr. Messina said this offer should address any “fears” on Mr. Romney’s part that “that the more he offers, the more our campaign will demand that he provide.”
“If the Governor will release five years of returns, I commit in turn that we will not criticize him for not releasing more–neither in ads nor in other public communications or commentary for the rest of the campaign,” Mr. Messina wrote. “This request for the release of five years, covering the complete returns for 2007-2012, is surely not unreasonable. Other Presidential candidates have released more, including the Governor’s father who provided 12 years of returns.”
Mr. Rhoades responded with an e-mail telling Mr. Messina, “If Governor Romney’s tax returns are the core message of your campaign, there will be ample time for President Obama to discuss them over the next 81 days.”
Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus and Florida Congressman Cliff Stearns held a conference call this afternoon to discuss a report released yesterday by the Republican-controlled House Energy and Commerce Committee, which revealed former White House deputy Chief of Staff Jim Messina (who is currently President Barack Obama’s campaign manager) used his personal email to conduct official business and White House staffers conducted meetings outside the building to avoid being included in the official record. Mr. Priebus said this represented a hypocritical failure of the Obama administration to live up to their promises of transparency and suggested it may indicate illegal activity.
“We got more news today that the self-proclaimed ‘most transparent administration in history isn’t transparent at all. They’ve been using the Caribou Coffee shop across the street from the White House as an executive branch annex to hold secret meetings with lobbyists and political cronies,” said Mr. Priebus. “These newly uncovered emails showed one White House staffer explicitly asking an industry insider to meet him at Caribou so that he wouldn’t have to appear on the White House visitor logs. The White House doesn’t want the American people to know who they’re meeting with on a day-to-day basis. They’ve had hundreds of meetings at Caribou, so we have no way of knowing what insider deals they’re cutting.”
With President Obama releasing a $25 million blitzkrieg of campaign ads, his top advisors David Axelrod and Jim Messina had a press conference call with reporters this morning to discuss his branding strategy. They said the president’s message this election cycle will focus on his record and his desire to keep the country progressing. Messrs. Messina and Axelrod contrasted this with Mitt Romney, who they predicted would lean on negative attacks because he, in Mr. Messina’s words, “truly has no record to run on.”
“We have a very simple choice between going forward and going back,” Mr. Messina said when describing the main message of the president’s new campaign commercials.
There were some glitches on the Obama campaign’s conference call with reporters this morning, but senior advisor David Axelrod knew who to blame. After several reporters waiting in line to ask questions were disconnected when the operator tried to patch them in, Mr. Axelrod joked that the GOP was responsible.
“There’s some problem here,” Mr. Axelrod said. “Republicans will stop at nothing.”
President Barack Obama’s campaign manager, Jim Messina, emailed supporters shortly before three this morning asking for volunteers and responding to Mitt Romney’s extremely narrow victory in the Iowa Caucus. Mr. Messina mocked Mr. Romney for spending “seven years” campaigning in Iowa, described the Republican party as leaderless and predicted the eventual nominee would be someone who has “embraced” the Tea Party. “GOP voters there couldn’t decisively get behind anyone,” Mr. Messina wrote.
President Obama raised more than $47 million for his re-election campaign in the last three months, according to an early morning email announcement.
In a web video sent just before 5 a.m., Obama for America’s campaign manager, Jim Messina, said 552,462 individual donors had contributed to the president’s re-election effort, a modern record.
The Democratic National Committee, which has teamed up with OFA for a number of fundraisers, collected more than $38 million. Together, the Obama Victory Fund raised more than $86 million, exceeding their second quarter goal of $60 million.