November 7, 2008 - 9:45 am — Likely Democratic — #14
Obama won the state 52 percent to McCain’s 47 percent, according to The Washington Post.
November 3, 2008 - 2:37 pm — Likely Democratic — #14
Obama has a 6-point edge, 51 percent to 45 percent, in a new Reuters/Zogby survey of the state.
In a new Public Policy Polling survey of the state, Obama is up by 6 points, 52 percent to 46 percent.
A new SurveyUSA poll shows the Democrat up 50 percent to 46 percent in the state.
Obama leads 47 percent to 44 percent in a new Mason-Dixon poll of the state.
Obama is holding a rally in the state Monday evening.
October 31, 2008 - 12:18 pm — Leans Democratic — #11
Obama is wrapping up his 20-month campaign in Northern Virginia, according to The Washington Post. The final event will take place on Monday night in Manassas Park. The Post speculates that the announcement is a sign that the Democrat views traditionally red Virginia as a crucial battleground.
The latest Marist poll gives Obama a 4-point advantage, 51 percent to 47 percent, in the state.
October 30, 2008 - 11:53 am — Leans Democratic — #10
Obama is up 53 percent to 44 percent in a new CNN/Time survey of the state.
Obama is campaigning in the state on Thursday.
October 29, 2008 - 1:52 pm — Leans Democratic — #10
In the latest Associated Press poll of the state, Obama leads by 7 points, 49 percent to 42 percent.
October 28, 2008 - 12:10 pm — Leans Democratic — #10
A new SurveyUSA poll of the state shows Obama leading 52 percent to 43 percent.
October 27, 2008 - 12:10 pm — Leans Democratic — #10
Obama has an 8-point lead in Virginia in the latest Washington Post poll. The Democrat, who had a 3-point advantage in the poll in late September, now leads 52 percent to 44 percent.
A new Reuters/Zogby survey of the state shows Obama leading 52 percent to 44.8 percent.
A new Virginia Commonwealth University poll conducted by the Center for Public Policy gives Obama an 11-point lead in the state, 51 percent to 40 percent.
Palin is campaigning in the state on Monday.
October 24, 2008 - 3:06 pm — Leans Democratic — #10
A new Winthrop/ETV survey of Virginia shows Obama leading by a single point, 45 percent to 44 percent.
October 23, 2008 - 12:41 pm — Leans Democratic — #10
The latest Mason-Dixon poll in the state shows Obama up by a slim margin, 47 percent to 45 percent.
The Democrat's lead is larger in the latest CNN/Time poll, in which he's up 54 percent to 44 percent.
October 22, 2008 - 12:45 pm — Leans Democratic — #10
A new InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position survey of Colorado shows Obama leading 51 percent to 46 percent, just outside of the margin of error, with only 2 percent undecided.
In early voting so far, 81,000 Republicans and 76,000 Democrats have cast ballots, according to USA Today. More than a third of the country's voters are expected to vote before Election Day. In the last two cycles, early voting nationwide favored Republicans; experts said this was because early voters tended to be older and wealthier.
Biden is campaigning in Pueblo and Colorado Springs on Wednesday.
October 22, 2008 - 12:43 pm — Leans Democratic — #10
Obama is campaigning in Richmond and Leesburg on Wednesday.
October 21, 2008 - 12:31 pm — Leans Democratic — #10
Obama leads 51 percent to 45 percent in Virginia, according to the latest SurveyUSA poll.
October 17, 2008 - 12:15 pm — Leans Democratic — #9
The candidates are both in Virginia this weekend. Obama is in Roanoke on Friday and McCain is in Prince William County on Saturday.
The Washington Post notes that the Obama campaign has an advantage in the state by every organizational measure. It has helped register almost 500,000 new voters, has three times as many offices and has contacted many more potential supporters.
The McCain effort in the state, though, has been boosted by the addition of Palin to the ticket. The Post reports that the campaign now has waiting lists for signs 300 names long in Southwest Virginia.
In the latest Zogby poll, Obama leads 51.8 percent to 44 percent. In the previous poll, released in late September, Mccain lead 50 percent to 44 percent.
October 16, 2008 - 12:53 pm — Leans Democratic — #9
In the latest CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research Corporation survey of the state, Obama has a 10-point lead, 53 percent to 43 percent.
October 15, 2008 - 12:53 pm — Leans Democratic — #9
Politico notes that in the first three weeks of September, Obama ran 1,342 TV ads in the Washington media market, which reaches Northern Virginia, while his opponent ran eight.
October 14, 2008 - 12:20 pm — Leans Democratic — #9
Obama leads in Virginia 50 percent to 47 percent, according to the latest Fox News/Rasmussen Repots poll. He led by 2 last week and 3 the week before.
October 13, 2008 - 12:53 pm — Leans Democratic — #9
The chairman of the Virginia Republican Party, Jeffrey M. Frederick, compared Obama to Osama bin Laden, using the Democratic nominee's connection to Bill Ayers to link the two, according to The Washington Post. Time magazine reports that Frederick told Virginia GOP volunteers that Obama and bin Laden "both have friends that bombed the Pentagon." The McCain campaign distanced itself from the remarks, but Frederick says he stands by what he said.
Bill Clinton stumped in Virginia for Obama on Sunday, urgining Democratic supporters to avoid complacency and work to help elect down-ballot Democrats, Politico reports.
McCain and Palin are holding a rally in Virginia Beach on Monday. Palin is also scheduled to make a stop in Richmond.
October 9, 2008 - 12:00 pm — Toss up — #7
Obama leads 51 percent to 43 percent in the state, according to the latest survey by Public Policy Polling.
October 7, 2008 - 12:24 pm — Leans Republican — #7
Obama's lead has shrunk slightly in the state's latest Fox News/Rasmussen Reports poll. This week, he leads 50 percent to 47 percent. Four days ago, he was up by 5 points.
A new SurveyUSA poll in Virginia shows Obama leading 53 percent to 43 percent. In the four polls since the GOP convention, the Republican nominee has gone from up by 2 points to down by 10.
October 6, 2008 - 3:10 pm — Leans Republican — #11
A new poll by Suffolk University shows Obama up 12 points in Virginia, 51 percent to 39 percent. "Barack Obama has built a coalition of suburban D.C. area progressives from the north, African-American voters from the south, and young voters statewide," said David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Suffolk University in Boston. "That broad-based support suggests a 44-year Republican run in the Old Dominion State, dating back to Lyndon Johnson's victory in 1964, is in jeopardy."
October 6, 2008 - 12:46 pm — Leans Republican — #11
According to Politico, Obama is devoting more resources to the commonwealth than his opponent, raising concerns among state Republicans that the state is slipping away. Since June, Obama, his wife and his running mate have visited Virginia 12 times. Palin and McCain have had just one campaign event there. The Obama campaign also has 49 campaign offices. "The economy hurts us across the board and Obama is really running hard and putting more resources here than McCain – he's got the money," said U.S. Rep. Tom Davis, a Republican. But Davis predicted McCain would ultimately take the state, noting that Obama does not fit the mold of two successful Virginia Democrats, former Gov. Mark Warner and U.S. Sen. James Webb, who he said were more moderate.
October 2, 2008 - 12:58 pm — Leans Republican — #10
According to the latest CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research poll, Obama leads by 9 points in the state, 53 percent to 44 percent. In the previous poll, taken in mid-September, McCain had a 4-point advantage.
October 1, 2008 - 12:42 pm — Leans Republican — #10
A new Insider Advantage/Poll Position survey shows Obama leading 51 percent to 45 percent in the state with 3 percent undecided. The Democrat's lead is slightly outside of the margin of error, which is 5 percent.
September 30, 2008 - 12:01 pm — Leans Republican — #10
Obama leads 50 percent to 47 percent in the latest Fox News/Rasmussen Reports poll in the state. In the previous poll, released late last week, Obama led by 5 points. But in the poll before that, released earlier in the week, McCain had a 2-point edge.
September 29, 2008 - 12:06 pm — Leans Republican — #10
Obama leads McCain 50 percent to 45 percent in the latest Rasmussen Reports poll in the state. Rasmussen's previous poll, released Sept. 22, showed the Republican up 2 points. A week before that, they were tied. This marks the first time either candidate's lead in the Rasmussen survey has been larger than 2 points since May.
September 23, 2008 - 2:46 pm — Leans Republican — #10
A week ago, the candidates were tied at 48 percent in the Fox News/Rasmussen Reports poll, but this week McCain has regained a small advantage, 50 percent to 48 percent. The two candidates have been separated by 2 or fewer points in the last three polls.
In a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, Obama leads McCain 49 percent to 46 percent among likely voters.
September 22, 2008 - 12:22 pm — Leans Republican — #10
Likely spurred by their state's battleground status, Virginians are donating to the candidates in record numbers, according to The Washington Post. Through July, Obama had received $8.1 million from donors in the state and McCain has received $5 million. A total of $25.3 million have gone to candidates during this two-year cycle, almost double the $14.2 million before the 2004 election.
September 18, 2008 - 1:08 pm — Leans Republican — #10
According to a University of Wisconsin Advertising Project study, Obama spent $868,000 on television advertising in the state between Sept. 6 and Sept. 13 but McCain only spent $312,000, The New York Times is reporting. That's 11 percent of Obama's TV advertising budget during that time ($7.7 million) and just 4 percent of McCain's ($7.8 million).
September 15, 2008 - 11:47 am — Toss up — #3
Two polls last week show this state still within the margin of error.
CNN/Time Magazine showed McCain ahead 50 percent to 46 percent and Fox News/Rasmussen had McCain leading by 49 percent to 47 percent.
September 11, 2008 - 1:16 pm — Toss up — #3
McCain and Palin rallied an estimated 23,000 in Virginia on Wednesday, according to The Washington Post. It was the Arizona senator's first stop in the state since the primary on Feb. 12, and aides say it was his largest of the campaign.
September 9, 2008 - 12:12 pm — Toss up — #3
The race has tightened since the end of the party conventions. The latest Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone poll in the state shows Obama edging McCain 47 percent to 45 percent.
September 9, 2008 - 12:09 pm — Toss up — #3
The latest Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone poll in Virginia shows McCain edging Obama 49 percent to 47 percent.
September 8, 2008 - 6:42 pm — Toss up — #3
Obama will visit the state Sept. 9 for a town hall meeting with voters. The event will be Obama's fourth visit to Virginia since winning the primary, and his first since securing the Democratic nomination, according to WTVR-TV.
September 8, 2008 - 1:15 pm — Toss up — #3
McCain is planning his first public campaign event in Virginia since before the Feb. 12 primary, according to The Washington Post. He's bringing Palin with him to the Wednesday rally at Fairfax High School. Obama has made three campaign stops in the state, and he is scheduled to appear again Tuesday.
September 3, 2008 - 11:28 am — Toss up — #3
A resurgent throng of state Democrats packed the annual partisan picnic Monday on the southern tip of the Peninsula, gearing up for an all-out two-month push to deliver the state to Obama. Former Gov. Mark Warner said that in nearly two decades of picnicking with loyalists, the list of local Democrats has never been so hearty, as reported by the Daily Press.
August 19, 2008 - 2:55 pm — Toss up — #2
Gov. Tim Kaine held a series of town hall meetings over the weekend on behalf of Obama according to NBC4.
August 17, 2008 - 9:44 am — Toss up — #2
Obama will join U.S. Senate candidate Mark Warner at a town hall meeting in Martinsville on Aug. 20, according to the Virginian-Pilot.
August 15, 2008 - 10:17 am — Toss up — #2
A Rasmussen poll from Aug. 13 shows Obama and McCain in a dead heat, 46 percent to 45 percent.
According to The Washington Post, McCain's political director, Mike DuHaime said during a conference call that he expects the race to be close in the Old Dominion, but described it as still being a center-right state, one that McCain can win. The Post noted that DuHaime's assessment stands in stark contrast to an analysis by campaign manager Rick Davis in June, which listed Virginia as one of 17 "solidly Republican" states.
August 13, 2008 - 1:17 pm — Toss up — #2
As The Washington Post reports, former Gov. Mark Warner, who is favored to win Viriginia's open U.S. Senate seat in November, will deliver the keynote address at the Democratic National Convention on Aug. 26.
August 11, 2008 - 5:11 pm — Toss up — #2
Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine said the possibility of him being named Obama's vice presidential runningmate is long shot, according to the Richmond Times-Dispatch.
August 11, 2008 - 4:26 pm — Toss up — #2
An exclusive ABC7/News Channel 8 poll finds the race between McCain and Obama too close to call in the commonwealth. The SuveyUSA poll of 655 likely voters found McCain with 48 percent of the vote, compared with 47 percent for Obama.
August 7, 2008 - 12:21 am — Toss up — #2
More than 1,000 people attended a Norfolk fundraiser headlined by Michelle Obama on Aug. 6.
August 5, 2008 - 12:21 pm
The Wall Street Journal has a report that U.S. Sen. John McCain may be looking to vet U.S. Rep. Eric Cantor, a little-known, 45-year-old Virginia congressman. Speculation has it that McCain is searching in a non-traditional vice-presidential mold in hopes of landing a new generation leader that will give a boost to the GOP.
July 21, 2008 - 6:48 pm
Christopher Newport University analyst Quentin Kidd tells the Newport News Daily Press, "No Democratic presidential candidate in recent history has given Virginia the kind of attention that the Obama campaign is giving it. Why are they doing it? Because everything says Virginia is increasingly in play."
