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America's most dynamic and deeply reported political forecast.
Last Updated: November 2, 2008
Safe
Democratic
#23
U.S. Senate: Iowa
Incumbent: Tom Harkin (D)
Last Week's Rank: #23
Incumbent: Tom Harkin (D)
Last Week's Rank: #23
2008 Candidates
Tom Harkin (D)
U.S. Senator
Christopher Reed (R)
Businessman
About the Race
Four-term Democratic U.S. Sen. Tom Harkin has yet to win a U.S. Senate election by more than 55 percent, but those elections were against strong Republican challengers. This is the first cycle that Harkin will be given a pass against a sacraficial lamb.
Race Updates
November 12, 2008 - 3:00 pm — Safe Democratic — #23
Harkin won 63 percent to 37 percent.
September 25, 2008 - 11:56 am — Safe Democratic — #21
A debate is scheduled to take place between Reed and Harkin on Oct. 9 in Des Moines, according to the Sioux City Journal.
September 15, 2008 - 1:31 pm — Safe Democratic — #21
According to a Des Moines Register Iowa Poll, Harkin leads Reed by a wide margin - 53 percent to 39 percent.
September 9, 2008 - 9:23 pm — Safe Democratic — #21
According to a story by the Associated Press, Montana Gov. Brian Schweitzer will be making the sojourn out to Iowa in order to speak at Harkin's steak fry fundraiser.
August 15, 2008 - 4:21 pm — Safe Democratic — #18
According to CQ Politics, Harkin, looking for a fifth term, leads Reed 58 percent to 34 percent with 3 percent preferring "other" and 6 percent undecided in a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted Aug. 7.
July 17, 2008 - 1:58 pm
Tom Harkin reported raising $632,000 in the second quarter of this year giving his campaign over $4.1 million of cash-on-hand while Marion businessman Christopher Reed has yet to announce how much money he raised. In the first quarter of the year, Reed had no campaign finance activity at all.
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Contributors
James Pindell
President-elect Barack Obama's decision to name Illinois Rep. Rahm Emanuel as his chief of staff means that Emanuel's role as House ... >
Reid Wilson
The dust has barely settled on the 2008 elections -- in fact, in a few Senate and House contests, ballots are still being counted -- but possible ... >
Rob Tornoe
To view a larger version of this cartoon, click here.
I’m off through November 24 for some much needed rest and relaxation. I'll be ... >
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Jason Horowitz - National
Just about every story written about Rahm Emanuel since Barack Obama selected him to serve as White House chief of staff has described him as the tough Chicago operative who became the consummate Washington insider. But how sensitive will the bulldog at Mr. Obama’s gate be to New York interests?
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Joe Conason - National
Nobody can doubt that the Republicans in the Senate will obstruct as soon as that seems politically safe. Right-wing pundits, from Rush Limbaugh to the Wall Street Journal editorial page are already egging them on furiously. But is there enough muscle behind that filibuster threat to block Mr. Obama’s mandate?
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Steve Kornacki - National
Something funny happened last week: A liberal Democrat from Chicago, running on a ticket with a liberal from Delaware, won the White House by a comfortable margin. And while Barack Obama did actually win three states in the South, his triumph should do away with the notion that a “Southern strategy” is essential to the Democratic Party’s long-term viability at the presidential level.
Interview
You seems like an well informed writer. I am a student at Bradley University and I have to write an analysis about the US Senatorial Race in Iowa.
Would you be willing to answer some interview questions for me? I'll make you cookies or something.
Zillion dollar bailout
Don't sign this bailout, or any other without reading every single word, checking every comma, period and check the dot on every "i" and cross for every "t." ou remember the snow job we got on NAFTA. We're still finding out all the ugly surprises that worthless agreement has brought down upon us. How can we ever get out of debt by just adding this much more on top of it? Actually I would like to see the Senate phase out the Federal Reserve and phase in the Gold Standard. Or even a president who would sign Executive Order 11110. I watched your video from the Senate Floor. It was encouraging, so stick to your guns on this one. Our great - great - great grand babies will still be paying off this unactable condition. Those who made billions of dollars off sub prime loans are little more than loan sharks and should answer for usery.
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