America's most dynamic and deeply reported political forecast.

Last Updated: November 2, 2008


Safe
Republican
#16
U.S. Senate: South Carolina
Incumbent: Lindsey Graham (R)
Last Week's Rank: #16

2008 Candidates

Lindsey Graham (R)

U.S. Senator

Bob Conley (D)

Commercial Pilot and Flight Instructor

 

About the Race

This race was supposed to be more interesting with Republican U.S. Sen. Lindsay Graham getting a primary challenge and for a while state Democratic Party Chair Joe Erwin, who is wealthy, was considering a bid. Graham got an easier primary challenge than he once thought and Erwin didn't run.

Race Updates

November 12, 2008 - 2:22 pm — Safe Republican — #16
Graham probably spent more time on John McCain's campaign trail than his own campaign, but he won 58 percent to 42 percent.

October 24, 2008 - 12:08 pm — Safe Republican — #15
Conley picked up an endorsement from the Americans for Legal
Immigration, due in part to a speech made by Graham in March of 2007 that the organization deemed offensive, according to a press release.

September 25, 2008 - 11:53 am — Likely Republican — #19
A Rasmussen poll indicates that although Conley has closed the gap on Graham to within single digits, he still has to overcome a 50 to 41 percent deficit in order to catch up with Graham.

September 15, 2008 - 1:29 pm — Likely Republican — #19
In another instance of tensions between Conley and his party, South Carolina Democratic chairwoman Carol Fowler called Conley "naive and inexperienced," according to the Associated Press.

"I'm not sure where his votes are coming from," she added.

September 1, 2008 - 1:28 pm — Likely Republican — #19
In a move that is unlikely to help his falling poll numbers, Conley criticized House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn as an example of a member of the Democratic party that is "too liberal," according to The State.

Bewildered by the move, state party chairman Carol Fowler said he wasn't sure "where his votes are going to come from" if he continues to attack his own party.

July 17, 2008 - 1:31 pm

If Lindsey Graham had any concerns about his own re-election this year, he probably wouldn't have given $260,000 to the National Republican Senatorial Committee like he did in recent months.

Bob Conley, the Democrat, has suffered from stories this week showing he was a Republican up until a few months ago. He ran as a Republican for the Indiana Legislature in 2000 and voted for Ron Paul this past January in the state's presidential primary.

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