The Pindell Report, Politicker.com's political and campaign forecast, has released its final projections for Election Day. Using polling, historical and demographic trends, tracking campaign visits and spending, The Pindell Report ranks races in terms of their competitiveness and their status as either a toss-up or leaning or likely voting in a particular way.
In Ohio, The Pindell Report's final breakdown is as follows:
PRESIDENT:
Leans Democratic. While Ohio continues to be fought over Democrat Barack Obama has held steady on a lead for several weeks and has the momentum.
U.S. HOUSE:
1st Congressional District: Toss-up. This race remains a big question mark. Republican Steve Chabot's fate rests on the strength of African-American turnout in the Cincinnati area. How much will the Democratic challenger, State Rep. Steve Driehaus, benefit?
2nd Congressional District: Leans Republican. U.S. Rep. Jean Schmidt has never won with big margins, and she probably won't on Tuesday, when she faces Democratic challenger Victoria Wulsin and Independent David Krikorian.
15th Congressional District: Leans Democratic. State Sen. Steve Stivers was widely seen as the best Republican recruit of the cycle, but polls have consistently shown him trailing Democrat Mary Jo Kilroy, who nearly defeated U.S. Rep. Deborah Pryce in 2006. This year, Pryce is retiring from Congress and Kilroy stands to benefit from the Obama campaign's turnout operation at Ohio State University.
16th Congressional District. Leans Democratic. State Sen. John Boccieri turned out to be one of the top Democratic recruits this cycle, running a populist-style campaign in a district hit hard by job losses. After 18 consecutive terms, Republican Ralph Regula is retiring, but is appears right now that State Sen. Kirk Schuring won't be able to keep the seat for the GOP.
NATIONAL OUTLOOK:
The Pindell Report estimates Barack Obama will become the next president receiving at least 353 electoral votes tomorrow compared to John McCain's 174 electoral votes. The only toss-up state is Missouri. For the U.S. Senate, Pindell predicts that Democrats will pick up either 7 or 8 seats and will fall short of the 60 seats they need to end a filibuster. The only Senate race viewed as too close to call is in Minnesota. In the House, Democrats are poised to pick up at least 21 seats with 6 seats viewed as toss-ups.
PINDELL REPORT'S COMPLETE FORECAST:
U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Governor | Presidential Swing State
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