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	<title>Politicker &#187; Redistricting: What Happens Next?</title>
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		<title>Politicker &#187; Redistricting: What Happens Next?</title>
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		<title>Redistricting: What Happens Next?</title>

		<comments>http://politicker.com/2012/03/redistricting-what-happens-next/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Mar 2012 16:47:55 -0400</pubDate>
					<link>http://politicker.com/2012/03/redistricting-what-happens-next/</link>
			<dc:creator>Colin Campbell</dc:creator>
				
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.politicker.com/?p=20330</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://nyopoliticker.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/ny-redistricting.png"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-20331" title="ny redistricting" src="http://nyopoliticker.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/ny-redistricting.png?w=248&h=300" alt="" width="198" height="240" /></a>Earlier today, the courts dropped a small bombshell on New York's Congressional delegation, <a href="http://www.politicker.com/2012/03/06/special-master-releases-draft-congressional-maps/" target="_blank">releasing a "draft" map for the new set of districts</a>. But what does that mean, and what happens next?</p>
<p>U.S. Magistrate Roanne Mann <a href="https://www.nyed.uscourts.gov/11-5632.cfm" target="_blank">has given a deadline at 9 a.m. tomorrow</a> for any parties to submit comments. She then has until Monday to submit her plan to a three-judge panel. That panel will then hold a hearing for the parties on March 15th and subsequently order a plan into effect.</p>
<p>David Nir, an attorney who now heads the left-leaning <a href="http://elections.dailykos.com/" target="_blank"><em>Daily Kos Elections</em> blog</a> that closely monitors redistricting developments across the country, said he expected the three-judge panel would adopt the proposed map wholesale.</p>
<p>"In all likelihood, I'd expect the three-judge panel to adopt the magistrate's final map with few if any changes," he told <em>The Politicker</em>. "Given the amount of work the magistrate has put into drafting these maps, and her close familiarity with the new lines, I'd be surprised if the three-judge panel chose to second-guess her."</p>
<p><!--more--></p>
<p>The main obstacle that could divert this plan from being enacted is the Legislature suddenly coming together to pass their own map before the court's process is finished, possibly with a signature on the plan from Governor Andrew Cuomo that effects their alternative redistricting plan into law.</p>
<p>However, a redistricting expert mused to <em>The Politicker</em> that there might not be enough panic in New York State's Congressional delegation to push Albany to overcome their differences.</p>
<p>"It appears that more members of the delegation either can live with this plan, or are not at the point of demanding change through a deal with Albany," he said.</p>
<p>Indeed, a couple Representatives in Long Island have seen their districts upended, but they generally all have landing zones. Only GOP Congressman Bob Turner, who is half-way into his first term, is left with no winnable district to run for reelection in whatsoever. The only other district eliminated by the court's map belongs to a retiring Democrat, Congressman Maurice Hinchey. Thus the pain is divided equally between the two parties, further mitigating the need for emergency legislative action.</p>
<p>The leader of the Democrats in the State Assembly, Speaker Shelly Silver, didn't even seem too upset with the plan, <a href="http://www.capitaltonight.com/2012/03/silver-calls-maps-are-a-template-for-a-deal/" target="_blank">calling the plan a "template" for their own processes</a>. However, he did indicate his interest in getting a plan passed before the courts finish their intervention, something that could still very well happen, although with a rapidly diminishing window of time.</p>
<p>Regardless of where the lines settle, it seems inevitable they'll settle soon. At the Congressional level at least, <a href="http://www.politicker.com/2012/02/07/here-comes-chaos-uncertain-election-day-and-district-lines-make-for-primary-mess/" target="_blank">the intense electoral chaos</a> may finally be at an end on March 15th.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://nyopoliticker.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/ny-redistricting.png"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-20331" title="ny redistricting" src="http://nyopoliticker.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/ny-redistricting.png?w=248&h=300" alt="" width="198" height="240" /></a>Earlier today, the courts dropped a small bombshell on New York's Congressional delegation, <a href="http://www.politicker.com/2012/03/06/special-master-releases-draft-congressional-maps/" target="_blank">releasing a "draft" map for the new set of districts</a>. But what does that mean, and what happens next?</p>
<p>U.S. Magistrate Roanne Mann <a href="https://www.nyed.uscourts.gov/11-5632.cfm" target="_blank">has given a deadline at 9 a.m. tomorrow</a> for any parties to submit comments. She then has until Monday to submit her plan to a three-judge panel. That panel will then hold a hearing for the parties on March 15th and subsequently order a plan into effect.</p>
<p>David Nir, an attorney who now heads the left-leaning <a href="http://elections.dailykos.com/" target="_blank"><em>Daily Kos Elections</em> blog</a> that closely monitors redistricting developments across the country, said he expected the three-judge panel would adopt the proposed map wholesale.</p>
<p>"In all likelihood, I'd expect the three-judge panel to adopt the magistrate's final map with few if any changes," he told <em>The Politicker</em>. "Given the amount of work the magistrate has put into drafting these maps, and her close familiarity with the new lines, I'd be surprised if the three-judge panel chose to second-guess her."</p>
<p><!--more--></p>
<p>The main obstacle that could divert this plan from being enacted is the Legislature suddenly coming together to pass their own map before the court's process is finished, possibly with a signature on the plan from Governor Andrew Cuomo that effects their alternative redistricting plan into law.</p>
<p>However, a redistricting expert mused to <em>The Politicker</em> that there might not be enough panic in New York State's Congressional delegation to push Albany to overcome their differences.</p>
<p>"It appears that more members of the delegation either can live with this plan, or are not at the point of demanding change through a deal with Albany," he said.</p>
<p>Indeed, a couple Representatives in Long Island have seen their districts upended, but they generally all have landing zones. Only GOP Congressman Bob Turner, who is half-way into his first term, is left with no winnable district to run for reelection in whatsoever. The only other district eliminated by the court's map belongs to a retiring Democrat, Congressman Maurice Hinchey. Thus the pain is divided equally between the two parties, further mitigating the need for emergency legislative action.</p>
<p>The leader of the Democrats in the State Assembly, Speaker Shelly Silver, didn't even seem too upset with the plan, <a href="http://www.capitaltonight.com/2012/03/silver-calls-maps-are-a-template-for-a-deal/" target="_blank">calling the plan a "template" for their own processes</a>. However, he did indicate his interest in getting a plan passed before the courts finish their intervention, something that could still very well happen, although with a rapidly diminishing window of time.</p>
<p>Regardless of where the lines settle, it seems inevitable they'll settle soon. At the Congressional level at least, <a href="http://www.politicker.com/2012/02/07/here-comes-chaos-uncertain-election-day-and-district-lines-make-for-primary-mess/" target="_blank">the intense electoral chaos</a> may finally be at an end on March 15th.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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