Data Crunch: How Democratic and Republican Are the Court’s Congressional Districts?

Colin Campbell — Wed, 07 Mar 2012 15:28:02 -0400

Over at Daily Kos Elections, they've been analyzing what the new court-proposed congressional map would mean for the partisan makeup of each district and the incumbent it houses. Based on the percentages Barack Obama and John McCain scored in the 2008 presidential race, a number of swing districts have gotten either more or less competitive.

Notably in New York City, GOP Congressman Michael Grimm's district is a touch more conservative, while the new district created in Queens, which both Assemblyman Rory Lancman and Congressman Gary Ackerman have their sights set for, looks solidly Democratic. More of Republican Rep. Bob Turner's old territory is in this new district than anywhere else, but it would be a significantly uphill battle if he sought reelection there.

View the full breakdown below:

New CD	Old CD	Rep.	Party	Obama (New)	McCain (new)	Obama (old)	McCain (old)
NY-01	NY-01	Bishop	(D)	51	48	52	48
NY-02	NY-03	King	(R)	51	48	47	52
NY-03	NY-02	Israel	(D)	54	46	56	43
NY-04	NY-04	McCarthy	(D)	55	44	58	41
NY-05	NY-06	Meeks	(D)	86	14	89	11
NY-06	NY-05	Ackerman	(D)	63	36	63	36
NY-07	NY-12	Velazquez	(D)	84	15	86	13
NY-08	NY-10	Towns	(D)	84	16	91	9
NY-09	NY-11	Clarke	(D)	86	13	91	9
NY-10	NY-08	Nadler	(D)	76	23	74	26
NY-11	NY-13	Grimm	(R)	48	51	49	51
NY-12	NY-14	Maloney	(D)	80	19	78	21
NY-13	NY-15	Rangel	(D)	93	6	93	6
NY-14	NY-07	Crowley	(D)	76	23	79	20
NY-15	NY-16	Serrano	(D)	95	5	95	5
NY-16	NY-17	Engel	(D)	73	26	72	28
NY-17	NY-18	Lowey	(D)	58	41	62	38
NY-18	NY-19	Hayworth	(R)	52	47	51	48
NY-19	NY-20	Gibson	(R)	53	45	51	48
NY-20	NY-21	Tonko	(D)	58	40	58	40
NY-21	NY-23	Owens	(D)	52	47	52	47
NY-22	NY-24	Hannah	(R)	49	49	51	48
NY-23	NY-29	Reed	(R)	50	49	48	51
NY-24	NY-25	Buerkle	(R)	56	42	56	43
NY-25	NY-28	Slaughter	(D)	59	40	69	30
NY-26	NY-27	Higgins	(D)	63	35	54	44
NY-27	NY-26	Hochul	(D)	44	54	46	52
---	NY-09	Turner	(R)	---	---	55	44
---	NY-22	OPEN	(D)	---	---	59	39

Politicker » Data Crunch: How Democratic and Republican Are the Court’s Congressional Districts?

Data Crunch: How Democratic and Republican Are the Court’s Congressional Districts?