“The Port Authority continues to monitor all three swaps… to determine possible actions to take when market conditions are more favorable,” The 2008 statement said.
In the second quarter of 2009, the Port Authority amended the three unhedged swap agreements to defer interest rate payments until the last quarter of 2010. That agreement included an increase in the fixed rate paid by the PA, upping its annual payout by $3.2 million. The variable rate payback was also changed
Payments began again in October. Since then, the PA has paid out more than $22 million.
The PA also has paid an additional $31 million in the past two years to cancel out two swaps entered into in the early 1990s. Those swaps called for much higher interest rates and were terminated when the bonds they were meant to hedge were refunded.
In addition to the payouts, the PA has paid nearly $800,000 in advisory fees in connection with the three unhedged swaps on the books, putting its total five-year payout on the derivatives at more than $70 million.
“A certain arrogance associated with swaps”
Robert Brooks, a finance professor at the University of Alabama and author of a book on swaps, said the PA was essentially gambling with the public’s money and lost.
“There is a certain arrogance associated with swaps because you are saying you can tell what is going to happen in the future,” Brooks said. “But we know that generally you can’t predict and things happen that have never happened before.”
Brooks said swaps are entered into as a hedge; however there is tremendous downside to the agreements as the PA and hundreds of other government entities have discovered in recent years. Managing risk is about preparing for what comes your way, not betting on the future.
“They should be managing their risk the same way these investment banks on the other end of the swaps do,” he said. “They don’t manage their risk this way.”
Swap experts stress that a market value is simply a snapshot of the swap at a given time. Over its life, a given swap could turn out to be a solid investment and swaps are not inherently bad under the right circumstances and with the right knowledge of the product.
A spokesman for the PA said the agency has used swaps “very conservatively” and continues to watch the three unhedged derivatives on its books. The PA has no plans to enter into further swaps “at this time.”
“With the deterioration of the variable rate debt market, swaps would not be used to fix interest rates in refunding,” said Port Authority spokesman Ron Marsico. “Therefore, at this time, the Port Authority does not intend to enter into any further swap transactions. The last swap was entered into in June 2006.”
The swaps were part of the reasoning used in March when Moody’s Investor Service changed the PA’s credit outlook to negative. That outlook has been used as one justification for the massive toll hike approved by the PA last week.
Beginning next month, cars will pay an additional $1.50 to cross the Hudson and PATH riders will pay an extra 25 cents per ride. Tolls will rise another $3 by 2015 and the PATH fare will jump another 75 cents.
In all, the PA expects to collect an additional $100 million in 2011, $375 million in 2012, $575 million in 2013, $725 million in 2014 and $900 million in 2015.
In his statement last week before the board voted in favor of the toll hike, PA Chairman David Samson blamed the need for the hike on bad economic climates, the $11 billion resurrection of the World Trade Center (and other infrastructure projects), and the heightened need for security investments in the region.
PANYNJ not alone
The Port Authority is not alone in its usage of swaps as an interest rate hedge. Earlier this decade, New Jersey entered into dozens of risky swap deals and has paid millions to untangle them. Governments around the nation have also partaken heavily in the derivatives market, many with little understanding of what they were committing to.
With credit markets booming and interest rates seemingly on the perpetual rise, Wall Street financiers approached municipalities, pension funds and other government agencies with a deal: We’ll cut your borrowing costs while at the same time protect you against soaring rates. The catch? There was no hedge against losses should interest rates crater.
The result, according to a study by Bloomberg, is that swap deals have cost governments across the country some $400 billion.
In New Jersey, the state still has 27 swap deals on its books, with an estimated market value in January of negative $400 million. Earlier this year, New Jersey paid more than $122 million to partially terminate eight of its swaps.